An industry analyst claims that of the customers that sign up for a gym membership in January, only 31% continue attending after two months.

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I need help understanding this.

An industry analyst claims that of the customers that sign up for a gym membership in January, only 31% continue attending after two months.

I call customers at random that signed up for a gym membership in. What is the probability that the third or fourth customer I call is the first one that is continuing to attend the gym after two months?

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An industry analyst claims that of the customers that sign up for a gym membership in January, only 31% continue attending after two months.

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